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Global Rivalries

Trump’s Iran New Deadline Turns Madman Strategy Into a Credibility Test

Published on May 22, 2026

Donald Trump has put Iran back under pressure, warning that US forces could strike again if Tehran fails to reach a deal. He said Iran cannot be allowed to obtain a nuclear weapon, and claimed the US military had been ready for a “full and large-scale attack” against the country.

 

Trump’s warning quickly drew a counter-threat from Iran’s Revolutionary Guard, which said it could “open new fronts” against the United States and its allies if Washington resumes bombing.

 

The exchange has pushed a fragile ceasefire into a new danger zone, with the Strait of Hormuz still trapped in a US-Iranian standoff over oil flows.

 

But the harder question is whether Tehran still hears those warnings as a final signal, or whether the repeated cycle of escalation, pause, and renewed pressure is making each new Trump threat easier to doubt.

 

A Pressure Strategy With a Credibility Problem

The United States' logic is to keep Iran under

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