The war in the Middle East is beginning to disrupt food markets across Southeast Asia, exposing how dependent regional supply chains are on global shipping, fuel, and fertilizer flows. Thailand, Malaysia, and the Philippines are already seeing exports fall, costs rise, and production come under pressure.
From rice and canned tuna to vegetables and bananas, the impact highlights deeper vulnerabilities in how food systems are structured. Consumers across the region may soon feel the effects through higher prices and tighter supply.
Thailand Food Exports Drop as Shipping and Fuel Costs Surge
Thailand’s food exports fell 10.5% in January and February 2026, reaching THB 202.1 billion. While weaker demand and currency strength played a role then, the Middle East conflict is now adding pressure by disrupting key shipping routes, especially through the Strait of Hormuz.
This disruption is affecting exports such as canned tuna, rice, and sweetcorn. At the same
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